Goldman Sachs: We estimate that if the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of more than $50/barrel by the end of 2025, the growth rate of shale oil supply in the United States will fall below 100,000 barrels per day in 2025, which in turn will push the price of Brent crude oil up by $8 per barrel in 2025.The production and transportation capacity is continuously released. The coal supply is guaranteed this winter and next spring. In winter, the heating energy can be greatly improved. As a stabilizer of China's energy supply, coal production, storage and transportation have attracted much attention. At the 2025 National Coal Fair held recently, more than 30 enterprises signed medium-and long-term contracts for coal. Most of the medium-and long-term contracts signed this time are independently connected by the supply and demand sides, and the transaction has a high degree of marketization, which is conducive to the performance of enterprises according to the actual contract volume, and has laid a "reassuring" for coal supply this winter and next spring. The reporter learned from the China Coal Industry Association that in the first 10 months of this year, the national raw coal output above designated size was 3.89 billion tons, up 1.2% year-on-year, and the output reached the highest level in the same period in history. In terms of imports, in the first three quarters, China imported 389 million tons of coal, up 11.9% year-on-year. At the same time, coal storage is also full of confidence. According to the data, at present, the coal storage capacity of power plants nationwide is more than 200 million tons, and the average available days are more than 30 days. (Economic Daily)Nine stowaways' bodies were found in Tunisia, and Tunisia's national news agency reported on the 12th that its coast guard found nine stowaways' bodies in the waters near Mahdiyah province in the east.
International precious metal futures closed down sharply, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87%, COMEX gold futures fell by 1.87% to $2,705.2 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell by 4.25% to $31.565 per ounce.Yuanda Jinghua Securities upgraded the rating of Taiwan Optoelectronic Materials to Buy with a target price of 660 yuan NT.Goldman Sachs: Two situations support the view that the reserve price of Brent crude oil is $70. Goldman Sachs: We find that when the price of Brent crude oil falls to the range of $60/barrel, the supply response measures of the United States will increase, and the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) tends to extend the production reduction around the current price level, which supports our view that the reserve price of Brent crude oil is $70/barrel.
The balance of A-share financing reached a new high of more than 9 years. According to Wind data, as of December 11th, the balance of A-share market financing reached 1,875.85 billion yuan, a new high of more than 9 years. In the first three trading days of this week, the financing balance "increased three times in a row", with a cumulative increase of 22.579 billion yuan. Analysts believe that short-term ample liquidity and optimistic policy expectations are still the main support of the market. In the medium and long term, the A-share market is expected to continue to fluctuate upward under the dual promotion of policy expectations and economic trends. (china securities journal)Broadcom's adjusted net revenue in the fourth quarter was $14.05 billion, with an expected $14.08 billion. Broadcom's adjusted net revenue in the fourth quarter was $14.05 billion, with an expected $14.08 billion. The adjusted earnings per share in the fourth quarter was $1.42, and it was expected to be $1.39; Revenue in the first quarter is expected to be about $14.6 billion, and analysts expect it to be $14.61 billion.Goldman Sachs: Given that the moderate oversupply of 400,000 barrels per day and the current normalization of low valuation almost offset each other, the basic expectation is that the average price of Brent crude oil in 2025 will be $76 per barrel.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
12-13